Polymarket bettors have wagered $1.3 million on a US recession by end of 2026, with odds at 30%. JPMorgan puts the ...

Multiple reports reveal that increasing tensions in the Middle East could spell trouble for the economy.

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions ...

Polymarket now sees a 28% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, as odds declined from an earlier high of ~40-45% to ...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

There's a term that keeps showing up in financial news, in economists' Twitter threads, and in worried conversations between ...

Wall Street has been worried that cybersecurity will be replaced by AI, but Project Glasswing shows that fear is overblown.

Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the odds of a U.S. recession have been rising on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds are currently hovering around 30%, although ...

Fears of a recession loom large as the battle over the Strait of Hormuz dashes hopes of a swift end to the conflict in the ...

Recession risk in the U.S. is climbing on the back of geopolitical conflict, an oil shock, and a constrained Federal Reserve. Oil is above $95 after the Iran conflict disrupted global energy supply, ...